Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.863986 4.463087 5.125039 5.910847 6.818577 7.834641 9.058950
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.114372 3.911029 4.867225 6.100213 7.649583 9.534308 12.004956
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.464191 3.327451 4.440775 5.983514 8.069633 10.798279 14.648742
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.966523 2.832424 4.022847 5.781721 8.320950 11.864687 17.206379
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.690205 2.580933 3.878471 5.910571 9.023972 13.632877 21.010662
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.414493 2.277594 3.602750 5.791012 9.330179 14.858529 24.207469
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.296548 2.192776 3.637444 6.143229 10.404840 17.402415 29.856218
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.173280 2.076459 3.599362 6.363826 11.289534 19.760775 35.569978
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.038013 1.916172 3.460115 6.383962 11.824507 21.593486 40.649760
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.876758 1.683182 3.157209 6.060857 11.686515 22.202219 43.580544
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.818304 1.631117 3.173265 6.328273 12.682826 25.029096 51.147602
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.788346 1.628783 3.281125 6.786090 14.112451 28.883184 61.344669
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.724782 1.553042 3.241445 6.957200 15.023358 31.910143 70.493530
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.656251 1.456506 3.145775 6.997987 15.671458 34.503555 79.182260
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.572968 1.315079 2.934723 6.755894 15.665464 35.696923 84.967015
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.497947 1.180187 2.717437 6.464267 15.498061 36.499708 89.976528
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.460409 1.126131 2.673852 6.568780 16.273798 39.590090 101.019018
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.410653 1.035088 2.530863 6.411897 16.391447 41.133601 108.482085
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.397413 1.032061 2.598088 6.786727 17.899578 46.327475 126.265382
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.377118 1.007912 2.609553 7.020755 19.082678 50.884550 143.162465
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.347905 0.955847 2.542417 7.036857 19.688281 54.027868 156.728401
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.305058 0.860410 2.348070 6.676772 19.203172 54.157967 161.757271
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.294020 0.851550 2.384965 6.969356 20.611890 59.763178 183.853202